Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF NORTH - ROUND 16

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad		Hapoel Kaukab

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.05	3	3.6	Watch
	2.06	2.88	3.15
	2.02	2.89	4.11
	2.03	2.88	3.9
	2.05	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.15)	2.93 ↓ (3.01)	3.63 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
44.2%

Draw
30.8%

Hapoel Kaukab
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.4%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

28.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Hapoel Kaukab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kaukab than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Kaukab could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	62.5%	37.5%

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Kaukab Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hapoel Kaukab will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
Israeli Liga Alef North
01.03.24	Tzeirei Kafr Kanna - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:2 ✺
23.02.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Ironi Nesher	1:1 ✺
06.02.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLTTT
- Hapoel Kaukab
Israeli Liga Alef North
01.03.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Kaukab	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Kaukab	1:1 ✺
23.02.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Ironi Nesher	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kaukab	1:0 ✺
06.02.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Kafr Kanna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
20.01.23	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Kaukab	1:0
16.09.22	Hapoel Kaukab - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:1

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Kaukab