Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Basford United		Bradford Park Avenue

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.4	3.3	2.65
	2.27	3.52	2.69
	2.28	3.52	2.69
	2.4	3.4	2.4
	2.31	3.3	2.73
	2.4	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.78)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	2.64 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
38.7%

Draw
26.9%

Bradford Park Avenue
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.1%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basford United's performance.

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bradford Park Avenue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bradford Park Avenue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Basford United - Bradford Park Avenue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Basford is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bradford PA is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
31.10.23	Basford United - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Matlock Town - Basford United	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Basford United - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Marske United - Basford United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Stratford Town - Basford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTLL
- Bradford Park Avenue
English NPL Premier Division
28.10.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Marske United	1:0 ✺
23.10.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Worksop Town - Bradford Park Avenue	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Hyde United	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Stafford Rangers - Bradford Park Avenue	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLLT

Basford United - Bradford Park Avenue: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide