Match Info

National League North - Round 37

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Macclesfield Town		Chorley

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.5
	1.9	3.4	3.25
	1.95	3.6	3.3
	1.93	4.04	3.52
	1.95	3.99	3.26	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.5
	1.93	3.64	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)	3.67 ↑ (3.64)	3.42 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macclesfield Town
47.9%

Draw
25.1%

Chorley
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.3%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macclesfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Macclesfield Town - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 0, Buckley I. ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, Ellis M. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, Calveley M. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

Macclesfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chorley's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chorley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Macclesfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Macclesfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Macclesfield: 17.85% Chorley: 1.1%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macclesfield	10	6	3	1	13:6	7	21
12	Chorley	10	4	2	4	16:17	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macclesfield Town
English National League North
03.03.26	Darlington - Macclesfield Town	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Scarborough Athletic - Macclesfield Town	2:2 ✺
24.02.26	Macclesfield Town - Fylde	1:4 ✺
21.02.26	Macclesfield Town - King`s Lynn Town	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.02.26	Macclesfield Town - Brentford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLWL
- Chorley
English National League North
24.02.26	Spennymoor Town - Chorley	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Bedford Town - Chorley	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	AFC Telford United - Chorley	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Chorley - Radcliffe	0:1 ✺
10.02.26	Chorley - Southport	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
20.09.25	Chorley - Macclesfield Town	3:2

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