Match Info

Date: 15 February 2020, Saturday


	Macclesfield Town		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.9
	4.2	3.25	1.91
	4.2	3.2	1.95
	3.99	3.19	1.9
	4.51	3.28	1.96
	4.33	3.2	1.95
	4.46	3.34	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↓ (4.36)	3.27 ↓ (3.33)	1.94 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macclesfield Town
22.1%

Draw
29%

Exeter City
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

28.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

22.5%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Macclesfield Town - Exeter City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macclesfield Town
English League Two
11.02.20	Morecambe - Macclesfield Town	2:0 ✺
08.02.20	Leyton Orient - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Macclesfield Town - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
28.01.20	Newport County - Macclesfield Town	1:0 ✺
25.01.20	Macclesfield Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLLW
- Exeter City
English League Two
11.02.20	Exeter City - Oldham Athletic	5:1 ✺
08.02.20	Exeter City - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
01.02.20	Swindon Town - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
28.01.20	Port Vale - Exeter City	3:1 ✺
25.01.20	Exeter City - Colchester United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.08.19	Exeter City - Macclesfield Town	1:0
09.04.19	Macclesfield Town - Exeter City	3:2
27.11.18	Exeter City - Macclesfield Town	0:1

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