Match Info

Date: 15 April 2022, Friday


	Exeter City		Colchester United

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	7
	1.5	4	6.25
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.49	4	6.2
	1.51	4.43	6.73
	1.5	4	6.5
	1.57	4.3	6.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.73)	4.13 ↑ (3.71)	6.45 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Exeter City
62.5%

Draw
22.9%

Colchester United
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Exeter City's performance.

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Exeter City - Colchester United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 20).

Exeter has the most likely position - 2 (57.43%), has project points - 84, has currently - 74, has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a good chance of promoted (93%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

Colchester has the most likely position - 20 (33.94%), has project points - 51, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has very small quality 9, small importance 28, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 3.

Exeter in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Colchester is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Exeter have a series of guest games.

In this match Exeter is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Exeter to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Exeter won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League Two
09.04.22	Carlisle United - Exeter City	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Newport County - Exeter City	0:1 ✺
26.03.22	Exeter City - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
22.03.22	Port Vale - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
19.03.22	Oldham Athletic - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWTW
- Colchester United
English League Two
09.04.22	Colchester United - Stevenage Borough	0:2 ✺
02.04.22	Harrogate Town - Colchester United	1:2 ✺
26.03.22	Colchester United - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
21.03.22	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
15.03.22	Bristol Rovers - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.11.21	Colchester United - Exeter City	3:1
23.02.21	Colchester United - Exeter City	1:2
24.11.20	Exeter City - Colchester United	6:1
22.06.20	Exeter City - Colchester United	3:1 ET
18.06.20	Colchester United - Exeter City	1:0
25.01.20	Exeter City - Colchester United	0:0
29.12.19	Colchester United - Exeter City	2:2

Upcoming Matches