Match Info

Date: 13 November 2021, Saturday


	Exeter City		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.8	5
	1.73	3.5	4.8
	1.7	3.75	5
	1.77	3.6	4.2
	1.77	3.81	4.81
	1.73	3.5	4.5
	1.78	3.95	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.66)	3.7 ↓ (3.74)	4.72 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Exeter City
54.5%

Draw
25.5%

Oldham Athletic
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

25.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

20.5%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Exeter City - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 22).

Exeter has the most likely position - 1 (12.49%), has project points - 77, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Oldham has the most likely position - 23 (14.67%), has project points - 46, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Exeter in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Oldham is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oldham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Exeter is a favorite.

Oldham is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Last 6 head-to-head matches Exeter won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English EFL Trophy
10.11.21	Exeter City - Bristol Rovers	5:3 ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.21	Bradford City - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
English League Two
30.10.21	Salford City - Exeter City	1:2 ✺
23.10.21	Exeter City - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
19.10.21	Crawley Town - Exeter City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWWW
- Oldham Athletic
English EFL Trophy
09.11.21	Tranmere Rovers - Oldham Athletic	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.21	Ipswich Town - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
English League Two
30.10.21	Oldham Athletic - Swindon Town	1:3 ✺
23.10.21	Carlisle United - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
19.10.21	Oldham Athletic - Walsall	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.03.21	Oldham Athletic - Exeter City	2:1
21.11.20	Exeter City - Oldham Athletic	1:2
11.02.20	Exeter City - Oldham Athletic	5:1
20.08.19	Oldham Athletic - Exeter City	0:1
27.04.19	Exeter City - Oldham Athletic	1:0
22.12.18	Oldham Athletic - Exeter City	2:3
English League One
21.01.12	Oldham Athletic - Exeter City	N/A

Upcoming Matches