The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 47.6%
Draw 27.7%
Exeter City 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
27.4%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
26.1%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Port Vale - Exeter City Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 2. Kyle John 22. Montsma L. 5. Hall C. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 10. Dempsey K. 8. Garrity B. (C) 3. Headley J. 7. Byers G. 19. Waine B. 14. Lynch O.
1. Bycroft J. (G) 40. James E. 5. Fitzwater J. (C) 3. Woodhouse L. 7. Edwards G. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 16. Cummins C. 24. Harper V. 12. Cole R. 10. Gordon J. 32. Rose D.
Substitutes
24. Figueroa K. 33. Hall G. 11. Hernandez O. 25. Humphreys C. 20. Marosi M. (G) 17. Simpson T. 38. Walters R.
20. Birch G. 15. Matthews A. 8. Perry T. 22. Phillips F. (G) 2. Samuel L. 23. Sutherland E. 6. Taylor J.
Coaches
Brady J.
Taylor M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
63', Edwards G. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Byers G. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Rose D. ↓, Birch G. ↑,
71', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
73', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
76', Waine B. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
77', Byers G. 🟨,
79', James E. ↓, Samuel L. ↑,
79', Harper V. ↓, Sutherland E. ↑,
86', Lynch O. ↓, Simpson T. ↑,
86', Montsma L. ↓, Humphreys C. ↑,
86', Byers G. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
90+5', Perry T. 🟨,
90+5', Garrity B. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
Recent form of Port Vale has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Exeter has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Port Vale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Exeter has had a series of home games.
Port Vale might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Inactive)
Moon J.
(Inactive)
Watters M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Exeter: Turns E.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Faal M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Exeter: Kite H.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Port Vale: 3.15% Exeter: 0.81%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Exeter
10
3
3
4
6:6
0
12
22
Port Vale
8
2
2
4
4:9
-5
8
Last Results with these Odds
Exeter City - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.22%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.