Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Maceratese		Notaresco

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.1	2.68
	2.49	3.09	2.73	Watch
	2.45	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.44)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)	2.69 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maceratese
36.9%

Draw
29.4%

Notaresco
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maceratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Notaresco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Maceratese - Notaresco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Ciabuschi J. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, De Angelis A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+8', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maceratese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Notaresco Calcio	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
13	Maceratese	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Maceratese
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.02.26	L Aquila - Maceratese	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Maceratese - Teramo	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sammaurese - Maceratese	0:4 ✺
25.01.26	Maceratese - Sora	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Fossombrone - Maceratese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLT
- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.02.26	Notaresco - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Chieti - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Notaresco - Giulianova	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Castelfidardo - Notaresco	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Notaresco - UniPomezia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
19.10.25	Notaresco - Maceratese	2:1

Maceratese - Notaresco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide