Match Info

J2 League - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Tochigi City

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.00	4.20	Watch
	1.73	3.70	3.70
	1.76	3.80	3.80	Watch
	1.79	4.11	4.13
	2.09	3.55	3.29	Watch
	1.75	4.00	4.05
	1.71	4.02	4.23	Watch
	1.73	3.95	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.17)	3.89 ↑ (3.44)	3.93 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
52.4%

Draw
23.9%

Tochigi City
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

27.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kataller Toyama's performance.

Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tochigi City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kataller Toyama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Kataller Toyama - Tochigi City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tochigi City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hirao T. (G) 4. Fukazawa S. 56. Okamoto S. 27. Kang Min-Woo 33. Takahashi Y. 14. Tanimoto S. 20. Jung Woo-Young 28. Fuseya S. 13. Ogawa K. 55. Kunitake Y. 39. Furukawa M.	97. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 31. Simmons A. 2. Jonjic M. 17. Chinen T. 15. Sato Y. 32. Koike Y. 7. Mori T. 20. Pedro Augusto 24. Nishiya K. 88. Masukake Y. 23. Yoshida A.
Substitutes
7. Kameda A. 11. Kim T. 31. Koh Bong-jo (G) 8. Matsuoka D. 30. Nakashima Y. 23. Nishiya S. 34. Takenaka G. 40. Takeuchi Y. 9. Yoshihira T.	1. Harada Y. (G) 33. Inui T. 6. Kato Jo 18. Kato M. 28. Konishi K. 10. Okaniwa Y. 9. Suzuki M. 11. Vasquez B. 8. Yamashita K.
Coaches
Adachi R.	Imaya N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Chinen T. 🟨,
26', Jung Woo-Young 🟨,
45', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ogawa K. ↓, Kim T. ↑,
54', Furukawa M. ↓, Yoshihira T. ↑,
54', Kunitake Y. ↓, Kameda A. ↑,
58', Masukake Y. ↓, Vasquez B. ↑,
68', Yoshida A. ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
68', Koike Y. ↓, Suzuki M. ↑,
68', Pedro Augusto ↓, Kato Jo ↑,
74', Simmons A. 🟨,
82', Mori T. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
84', Sato Y. 🟨,
85', Kang Min-Woo ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
89', Kato M. 🟨,
89', Okamoto S. 🟨,
90+2', Tanimoto S. ↓, Nakashima Y. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

Kataller Toyama has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tochigi City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Tochigi City has had a series of away games.

Kataller Toyama might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Toyama	10	5	3	2	19:10	9	18
16	Tochigi City	10	3	1	6	16:17	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Kataller Toyama - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.07%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
06.09.26	Júbilo Iwata - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Kataller Toyama - Fujieda MYFC	2:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Kataller Toyama	4:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Kataller Toyama - Imabari	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW
- Tochigi City FC
Japan J2 League
06.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Tochigi City	1:4 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi City	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Tochigi City - Júbilo Iwata	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Vegalta Sendai - Tochigi City	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Tochigi City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWLWW

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