The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Machida Zelvia 39.3%
Draw 28.3%
Kashiwa Reysol 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
28.3%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
28.8%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Kashiwa (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 50. Okamura D. 3. Shoji G. (C) 6. Mochizuki H. 23. Shirasaki R. 16. Mae H. 88. Nakamura H. 9. Ogawa K. 7. Soma Y. 99. Yengi T.
77. Wakahara T. (G) 88. Baba S. 4. Koga T. (C) 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 27. Kumasaka K. 39. Nakagawa N. 5. Endo K. 8. Koizumi Y. 87. Yamauchi H. 15. Fujio S.
Substitutes
15. Duke M. 4. Kikuchi R. 14. Matsuo Y. 13. Morita T. (G) 20. Nishimura T. 2. Ouwejan T. 8. Sento K. 18. Shimoda H. 34. Tokumura F.
40. Harakawa R. 9. Hosoya M. 21. Konishi Y. 2. Mitsumaru H. 29. Nagai K. (G) 20. Segawa Y. 11. Watai M. 32. Yamanouchi Y. 44. Yuba K.
Coaches
Kuroda G.
Rodriguez R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Soma Y. ⚽, Yengi T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Yamauchi H. ↓, Watai M. ↑,
46', Fujio S. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Segawa Y. ⚽, Koizumi Y. (A),
58', 1 - 2, Endo K. ⚽, Watai M. (A),
59', Shirasaki R. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
62', Shimoda H. 🟥,
65', 1 - 3, Koizumi Y. ⚽, Segawa Y. (A),
72', Yengi T. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
72', Mochizuki H. ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
76', Kumasaka K. 🟨,
82', Endo K. ↓, Mitsumaru H. ↑,
82', Kumasaka K. ↓, Harakawa R. ↑,
82', Dresevic I. ↓, Ouwejan T. ↑,
85', Baba S. 🟨,
88', 1 - 4, Segawa Y. ⚽, Watai M. (A),
90+1', Harakawa R. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 4, Ogawa K. ⚽, Okamura D. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
Machida Zelvia has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Kashiwa have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kashiwa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Kashiwa has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Machida Zelvia: Akimoto T.
(Red Card).
Confirmed absences for Kashiwa: Okubo T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Inactive)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Machida Zelvia has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Machida Zelvia against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:3 goals (averaging 1.5:0.8 per game).
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Kashiwa Reysol: 11.22%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Kashiwa Reysol
4
4
0
0
10:4
6
12
3
Machida
4
3
1
0
13:3
10
10
Last Results with these Odds
Machida Zelvia - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.96%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.