Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Madura United		Persipura Jayapura

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.25	4.5
	1.85	3.15	3.65
	1.71	3.4	4.3
	1.7	3.42	4.31
	1.89	3.38	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.1)	3.32 ↑ (3.03)	4.13 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madura United
50.9%

Draw
27.2%

Persipura Jayapura
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

20.4%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madura United's performance.

Persipura Jayapura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persipura Jayapura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madura United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persipura Jayapura than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persipura Jayapura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Madura United - Persipura Jayapura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

Recent matches Madura United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Persipura Jayapura is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Persipura Jayapura could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Madura United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Madura United won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Madura United won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
29.09.21	PSIS Semarang - Madura United	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Madura United - PSS Sleman	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	Bhayangkara - Madura United	1:0 ✺
12.09.21	Madura United - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
03.09.21	Persikabo 1973 - Madura United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLTT
- Persipura Jayapura
Indonesian Super League
29.09.21	Persipura Jayapura - Arema	0:1 ✺
24.09.21	Persiraja Banda Aceh - Persipura Jayapura	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	Persipura Jayapura - Persija Jakarta	0:0 ✺
10.09.21	Persela Lamongan - Persipura Jayapura	1:0 ✺
28.08.21	Persipura Jayapura - Persita Tangerang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
03.11.19	Madura United - Persipura Jayapura	0:2
16.07.19	Persipura Jayapura - Madura United	1:0
20.10.18	Madura United - Persipura Jayapura	2:2
19.05.18	Persipura Jayapura - Madura United	6:0
01.10.17	Persipura Jayapura - Madura United	0:1
07.06.17	Madura United - Persipura Jayapura	2:0
Indonesian ISC
26.11.16	Persipura Jayapura - Madura United	2:0

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