Match Info

Super League - Round 32

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sumpah Pemuda (Bandar Lampung) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Indonesia	19:00	Vidio


	Bhayangkara		Madura United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.3	2.68	Watch
	2.49	3.55	2.78
	2.25	3.46	2.98	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.63
	2.33	3.25	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.24)	3.36 ↓ (3.64)	2.75 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bhayangkara
39.2%

Draw
27.3%

Madura United
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.1%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bhayangkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bhayangkara than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Bhayangkara - Madura United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bhayangkara will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Madura United will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Awan Setho (C) 2. Gede P. 15. Damjanovic S. 17. Sidibe M. 4. Sadiki N. 22. Sulistyawan D. 10. Doumbia B. 23. Subo W. 58. Missa F. 37. Mbaga P. 72. Yamamoto S.	21. Diky M. (G) 3. Monteiro P. 6. Ruxi 9. Junior Brandao 4. Wehrmann J. (C) 10. Iran Junior 5. Palic K. 15. Numberi G. 68. Rusadi A. 24. Muslihuddin T. 77. Alesandro F.
Substitutes
11. Andika F. 41. Ferarri M. 25. Florasta E. 8. Ginanjar 29. Handika R. (G) 19. Ichsan T. 96. Kurnia R. 7. Matsumura R. 26. Murari F. 20. Rizki S. 1. Savik A. (G) 9. Spasojevic I.	25. Afrisal R. 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 99. Kusuma A. 11. Lulinha 95. Mendonca 7. Nufiandani A. 19. Riquelme 2. Sasongko N. 17. Sitanggang P.
Coaches
Munster P.	Basuki R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Wehrmann J. ⚽,
17', Iran Junior ↓, Sasongko N. ↑,
28', Sasongko N. 🟨,
36', Junior Brandao 🟨,
39', Subo W. ↓, Rizki S. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', Palic K. 🟨,
58', Gede P. ↓, Matsumura R. ↑,
59', Missa F. ↓, Andika F. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Matsumura R. ⚽, Sidibe M. (A),
64', Junior Brandao ↓, Riquelme ↑,
64', Muslihuddin T. ↓, Sitanggang P. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Doumbia B. ⚽, Rizki S. (A),
71', Sasongko N. ↓, Kusuma A. ↑,
78', Sulistyawan D. ↓, Ichsan T. ↑,
79', Mbaga P. ↓, Kurnia R. ↑,
83', Ichsan T. 🟨,
86', Kurnia R. 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, Sidibe M. ⚽,
90+1', Monteiro P. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bhayangkara won 2.

Recent form of Bhayangkara has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Madura United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bhayangkara won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bhayangkara won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Madura United	6	4	1	1	11:7	4	13
6	FC Bhayangkara	6	2	4	0	11:8	3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Madura United - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.13%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bhayangkara FC
Indonesian Super League
04.05.26	PSM Makassar - Bhayangkara	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Bhayangkara - Persib Bandung	2:4 ✺
22.04.26	Persis Solo - Bhayangkara	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Bhayangkara - PSIM Yogyakarta	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Persijap Jepara - Bhayangkara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
05.05.26	Madura United - Bali United Pusam	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Semen Padang - Madura United	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Madura United - Dewa United	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Madura United - Persik Kediri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
12.09.25	Madura United - Bhayangkara	0:0
01.03.24	Bhayangkara - Madura United	3:2
25.08.23	Madura United - Bhayangkara	0:0
20.02.23	Bhayangkara - Madura United	4:0
08.09.22	Madura United - Bhayangkara	1:0
14.01.22	Madura United - Bhayangkara	2:3
18.09.21	Bhayangkara - Madura United	1:0

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