Match Info

Liga 1 - Round 34

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium (Pamekasan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Madura United		PSS Sleman

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.75	1.65
	3.85	3.75	1.74	Watch
	3.83	3.95	1.78
	3.96	3.99	1.78	Watch
	4	3.7	1.73
	3.9	3.82	1.72	Watch
	3.85	3.75	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (2.49)	3.82 ↑ (3.75)	1.73 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madura United
23.4%

Draw
24%

PSS Sleman
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

24.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

24.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Madura United's form might have worsened.

PSS Sleman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSS Sleman's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madura United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSS Sleman than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSS Sleman, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Madura United - PSS Sleman Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Madura United will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Sleman will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sleman: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sleman (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PSS Sleman will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sleman (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Harlan A. (G) 28. Vedhayanto K. 3. Monteiro P. 68. Rusadi A. 45. Hidayat T. 70. Angulo B. 5. Palic K. 4. Wehrmann J. 77. Samosir S. 99. Ezzejjari Y. 11. Lulinha (C)	12. Alan (G) 5. Alhawari S. 8. Betinho 4. Cleberson 96. Lestaluhu A. 76. Dion D. 77. Sitanggang P. 10. Vico 20. Simanjuntak R. 11. Gustavo Tocantins 7. Marcelo Cirino
Substitutes
35. Abdillah H. 25. Afrisal R. 91. Ahmad A. 10. Iran Junior 69. Maulidino M. 24. Muslihuddin T. 31. Pratama Y. 19. Putra H. 42. Ramzy F. 30. Saputra M. (G) 36. Syah I. 41. Triyanto F.	9. Caraka H. 24. Cardoso N. 87. Figo A. 6. Gomes K. 33. Hamisi W. 55. Hariono J. 23. Kurniawan K. 72. Mutzi C. 78. Nanda I. 36. Rivan Satria Hutama R. 31. Romadhona S. (G)
Coaches
Vera A.	Huistra P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, Betinho ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Gustavo Tocantins ⚽, Vico (A),
43', Monteiro P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lestaluhu A. ↓, Gomes K. ↑,
56', Ezzejjari Y. ↓, Iran Junior ↑,
56', Vedhayanto K. ↓, Abdillah H. ↑,
68', Samosir S. ↓, Pratama Y. ↑,
68', Wehrmann J. ↓, Ramzy F. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Marcelo Cirino ⚽, Gustavo Tocantins (A),
78', Gustavo Tocantins ↓, Caraka H. ↑,
78', Marcelo Cirino ↓, Cardoso N. ↑,
83', Alhawari S. ↓, Hamisi W. ↑,
84', Angulo B. ↓, Maulidino M. ↑,
90+2', Simanjuntak R. ↓, Hariono J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 2.

Madura United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sleman is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Madura United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sleman is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Madura United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Madura United - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
17.05.25	Bali United Pusam - Madura United	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Madura United - Borneo Samarinda	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Semen Padang - Madura United	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Madura United - Persik Kediri	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Arema - Madura United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLLWW
- PSS Sleman
Indonesian Super League
17.05.25	PSS Sleman - Persija Jakarta	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	PSIS Semarang - PSS Sleman	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	PSS Sleman - PSM Makassar	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Persib Bandung - PSS Sleman	3:0 ✺
17.04.25	PSS Sleman - Dewa United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
27.12.24	PSS Sleman - Madura United	4:0
29.03.24	Madura United - PSS Sleman	0:0
24.09.23	PSS Sleman - Madura United	1:1
11.03.23	Madura United - PSS Sleman	2:1
08.12.22	PSS Sleman - Madura United	0:1
18.01.22	PSS Sleman - Madura United	1:1
25.09.21	Madura United - PSS Sleman	1:0

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