The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Madura United 64.6%
Draw 20.5%
PSM Makassar 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
23.8%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
23.1%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madura United's performance.
PSM Makassar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSM Makassar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madura United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSM Makassar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Madura United - PSM Makassar Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5 - Makassar (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Makassar (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Diky M. (G) 15. Numberi G. 3. Monteiro P. 68. Rusadi A. 6. Ruxi 4. Wehrmann J. 5. Palic K. 77. Alesandro F. 11. Lulinha (C) 24. Muslihuddin T. 9. Junior Brandao
30. Arya R. (G) 71. Hidayat M. 94. Lagator D. 4. Fernandes Y. (C) 22. Victor Luiz 88. Raehan A. 19. Amrullah K. 6. Fandi R. 21. Boboev S. 99. Cumic L. 24. Pratama R.
Substitutes
23. Emerson Souza 26. Harlan A. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 99. Kusuma A. 95. Mendonca 7. Nufiandani A. 44. Nurdiansyah 19. Riquelme 12. Rizki F. 2. Sasongko N. 17. Sitanggang P.
29. Aditia F. 48. Arfan M. 17. Bakri R. 7. Dethan V. 97. Hilmansyah (G) 13. Lasinari S. 98. Medina Themopole J. 18. Pagamo G. 15. Pratama R. 10. Sakai D. 51. Syamsuddin S. (G) 45. Tanjung A.
Coaches
Basuki R.
Trucha T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Cumic L. 🟨,
16', Lulinha 🟨,
38', Lulinha ↓, Sitanggang P. ↑,
43', 1 - 0, Junior Brandao ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Amrullah K. ↓, Bakri R. ↑,
46', Rusadi A. ↓, Mendonca ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Junior Brandao ⚽, Monteiro P. (A),
56', Junior Brandao 🟨,
58', Palic K. 🟨,
69', Boboev S. ↓, Aditia F. ↑,
69', Fandi R. ↓, Medina Themopole J. ↑,
71', Muslihuddin T. ↓, Riquelme ↑,
78', Pratama R. ↓,
83', Hidayat M. ↓, Dethan V. ↑,
90+1', Sitanggang P. ↓, Ilhamsyah ↑,
90+1', Junior Brandao ↓, Emerson Souza ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Madura United is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Madura United won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).