The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Madureira 36.5%
Draw 31.6%
Sampaio Corrêa FE 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
30.9%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
32%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madureira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, MT ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, Paulo Victor ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madureira won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Madureira is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Madureira has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:11 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Madureira against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
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