Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 8

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday


	Madureira U20		Audax RJ U20

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.12	6.12
	1.44	4.2	6.37	Watch
	1.41	4.25	6.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.64)	4.19 ↑ (3.75)	6.35 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madureira U20
63.9%

Draw
21.8%

Audax RJ U20
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

22.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madureira U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madureira U20's performance.

Audax RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Audax RJ U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira U20 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Madureira U20 - Audax RJ U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Welington K. d. S. C. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Madureira U20 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Audax RJ U20 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Madureira U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Madureira U20 is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Madureira U20 to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madureira U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
20.07.24	Boavista SC U20 - Madureira U20	1:2 ✺
13.07.24	Volta Redonda U20 - Madureira U20	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Madureira U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Madureira U20	2:2 ✺
22.06.24	Madureira U20 - Fluminense U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWTT
- Audax RJ U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
20.07.24	Audax RJ U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	1:2 ✺
05.07.24	Audax RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Vasco da Gama U20 - Audax RJ U20	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Audax RJ U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:3 ✺
14.06.24	Botafogo RJ U20 - Audax RJ U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LLTLT

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