Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 7

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV5


	Paços de Ferreira		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.33
	1.65	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5
	1.76	3.74	4.98
	1.62	3.6	4.75
	1.68	3.62	4.8	Watch
	1.66	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	3.58 ↓ (3.69)	4.76 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
55%

Draw
25.7%

Vilaverdense
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25.1%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

21.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paços de Ferreira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Paços de Ferreira - Vilaverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Marafona (G) 21. Neves A. 23. Ferigra E. 4. Ganchas P. 5. Antunes V. (C) 22. Luiz Carlos 7. Miguel 10. Djalo M. 29. Gorby 99. Joao Celeri 27. Chibozo A.	93. Santos R. (G) 94. Viegas R. 26. Batista J. 33. Gustavo 19. Lopes A. 10. Soares A. (C) 20. Semedo Y. 7. Teixeira G. 88. Neves L. 11. Bruno Silva 9. Adjei S.
Substitutes
20. Bastos L. 30. Costinha 19. Fonte R. 12. Jeimes (G) 50. Jojo 17. Paulo M. 26. Robson Reis 14. Rocha S. 8. Welton	82. Cajo (G) 23. Ericson 17. Fati N. 27. Freitas C. 8. Joao Caiado 6. Konate B. 3. Laercio 12. Maviram E. 5. Sako M.
Coaches
Silva R.	Barbosa A.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Paços de Ferreira is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vilaverdense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vilaverdense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paços de Ferreira is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
01.10.23	Feirense - Paços de Ferreira	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	1 Dezembro - Paços de Ferreira	1:0 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.09.23	Paços de Ferreira - Leixões	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Marítimo - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Paços de Ferreira - Tondela	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
29.09.23	Vilaverdense - Benfica B	1:4 ✺
16.09.23	AVS - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Vilaverdense - Nacional	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Santa Clara - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Vilaverdense - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Paços de Ferreira - Vilaverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide