Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 17

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Torreense		Mafra

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	2.2	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.46	Watch
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.24	3.24	3.24
	2.2	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)	3.13 ↓ (3.29)	3.24 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
42.2%

Draw
29.4%

Mafra
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	26.7%	6.7%

Torreense - Mafra Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Mafra will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torreense: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Bjerre S. (G) 28. Elie 5. Lomboto J. 72. Oliveira V. 22. Dani Bolt (C) 6. Pinto R. 8. Leo Silva 90. Costa D. 23. Vazquez J. 11. Pozo M. 19. Talles Wander	1. Fraisl M. (G) 6. Pereira P. 66. Capitao D. 32. Rodrigo Freitas 15. Guilherme (C) 3. Chriso 20. Maiga Y. 10. Fale M. 19. Iheanacho S. 9. Nibe A. 90. Etim F.
Substitutes
46. Agbor B. 75. Jean-Marie M. 1. Lucas Paes (G) 77. Luccas Paraizo 13. Matos T. 4. Ne Lopes 20. Pite 7. Rebelo M. 9. Thomsen T.	80. Goncalves V. 45. Kamara A. 17. Kolawole J. 7. Matos R. 35. Monteiro V. 4. Passi B. 21. Precatado J. 39. Souza A. 30. Ugboh M. (G)
Coaches
Fernandes T.	Ferreira T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Maiga Y. 🟨,
24', Chriso 🟨,
37', Talles Wander 🟨,
45', Guilherme (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Pereira P. 🟨,
50', Nibe A. 🟨,
56', Pozo M. 🟨,
59', Elie ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
59', Talles Wander ↓, Jean-Marie M. ↑,
60', Dani Bolt 🟨,
68', Guilherme 🟨,
70', Maiga Y. ↓, Precatado J. ↑,
70', Iheanacho S. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
74', Pinto R. ↓, Pite ↑,
74', Costa D. ↓, Rebelo M. ↑,
83', Nibe A. ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
83', Pereira P. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
83', Fale M. ↓, Passi B. ↑,
87', Lomboto J. 🟨,
88', Pozo M. ↓, Thomsen T. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Thomsen T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torreense won 1.

Torreense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mafra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Torreense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Torreense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:8 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Torreense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
22.12.24	Torreense - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Marítimo - Torreense	0:3 ✺
07.12.24	Torreense - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Felgueiras - Torreense	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Torreense - Leiria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 LWWWW
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
29.12.24	Mafra - Feirense	0:0 ✺
20.12.24	Leixões - Mafra	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Mafra - Benfica B	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Mafra - Marítimo	2:3 ✺
01.12.24	Penafiel - Mafra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.04.24	Mafra - Torreense	2:1
12.11.23	Torreense - Mafra	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
21.07.23	Torreense - Mafra	1:0
Portuguese Liga 2
15.04.23	Mafra - Torreense	1:0
29.10.22	Torreense - Mafra	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.02.18	Mafra - Torreense	4:3
Taça de Portugal
04.09.16	Torreense - Mafra	1:0

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