Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Referee: Ferreira V. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Mafra		Feirense

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.7
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.1	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.5	3.01	3.09
	2.11	3.03	3.83	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.4
	2.12	3.04	3.78	Watch
	2.15	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.27)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	3.59 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
43.3%

Draw
30.7%

Feirense
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

30.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	45.5%	18.2%

Mafra - Feirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Feirense will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraisl M. (G) 15. Guilherme (C) 32. Rodrigo Freitas 66. Capitao D. 5. Beni D. 3. Chriso 20. Maiga Y. 10. Fale M. 9. Nibe A. 19. Iheanacho S. 90. Etim F.	24. Costa J. (G) 2. Diga 76. Almeida F. (C) 21. Fernandes E. 5. Silva B. 6. Washington 20. Pereira J. 8. John N. 11. Banjaqui Z. 7. Antunes L. 10. Alves R.
Substitutes
80. Goncalves V. 45. Kamara A. 17. Kolawole J. 7. Matos R. 35. Monteiro V. 4. Passi B. 6. Pereira P. 21. Precatado J. 30. Ugboh M. (G)	13. Ali I. 70. Castro J. 1. Goncalves Mateus P. L. (G) 27. Jocu H. 9. Petkov S. 39. Quejada K. 77. Rehmi A. 88. Ribeiro T. 25. Shodipo O.
Coaches
Ferreira T.	Martins V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Beni D. 🟨,
20', Etim F. (Pen),
37', Capitao D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Fale M. ↓, Precatado J. ↑,
69', John N. ↓, Petkov S. ↑,
69', Alves R. ↓, Jocu H. ↑,
76', Banjaqui Z. ↓, Rehmi A. ↑,
84', Nibe A. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
88', Antunes L. ↓, Shodipo O. ↑,
90', Iheanacho S. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
90', Beni D. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
90', Maiga Y. ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
90+4', Pereira P. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1.

Mafra is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Feirense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
20.12.24	Leixões - Mafra	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Mafra - Benfica B	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Mafra - Marítimo	2:3 ✺
01.12.24	Penafiel - Mafra	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLTL
- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
15.12.24	Porto B - Feirense	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Feirense - Penafiel	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Leiria - Feirense	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Feirense - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Feirense - Tondela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.04.24	Mafra - Feirense	0:0
04.12.23	Feirense - Mafra	3:2
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Mafra - Feirense	3:1 ET
Portuguese Liga 2
26.02.23	Mafra - Feirense	1:1
04.09.22	Feirense - Mafra	0:0
23.01.22	Feirense - Mafra	1:0
14.08.21	Mafra - Feirense	0:1

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