Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Referee: Lima F. (Por)


	Mafra		Vizela

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.05
	3.3	3	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.38)	3.1 ↓ (3.12)	2.05 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
26.6%

Draw
29.2%

Vizela
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

29.6%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

29%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Mafra - Vizela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraisl M. (G) 14. Alves K. 32. Rodrigo Freitas 29. Rossi R. 15. Guilherme (C) 3. Chriso 66. Capitao D. 19. Iheanacho S. 80. Goncalves V. 5. Beni D. 90. Etim F.	25. Ruly (G) 77. Jojo 4. Rhyner J. 41. Correia A. (C) 19. Lebedenko O. 20. Semedo Y. 90. Nascimento D. 97. Loppy D. 24. Morschel H. 99. Ntolla N. 18. Semedo V.
Substitutes
60. Barros G. 16. Djabi A. 10. Fale M. 22. Lemos F. (G) 8. Lucas Gabriel 7. Matos R. 35. Monteiro V. 9. Nibe A. 95. Rochez B.	8. Bastunov A. 22. Busnic A. 17. Joao Reis 6. Jota Goncalves 23. Milovanovic U. 13. Morro M. A. (G) 68. Obah P. 21. Ramos R. 33. Schutte R.
Coaches
Alves P.	Pereira F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Semedo V. ⚽, Lebedenko O. (A),
12', 0 - 2, Semedo V. ⚽, Ntolla N. (A),
43', Capitao D. ↓, Nibe A. ↑,
45+1', 0 - 3, Ntolla N. ⚽, Semedo V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Iheanacho S. ↓, Fale M. ↑,
46', Loppy D. ↓, Obah P. ↑,
58', 1 - 3, Guilherme ⚽, Etim F. (A),
64', Morschel H. ↓, Busnic A. ↑,
64', Semedo V. ↓, Milovanovic U. ↑,
65', Fale M. 🟨,
65', Guilherme ↓, Djabi A. ↑,
66', Chriso ↓, Lucas Gabriel ↑,
67', Jojo 🟨,
76', Busnic A. 🟨,
77', Beni D. 🟨,
79', Goncalves V. ↓, Rochez B. ↑,
82', Semedo Y. ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
89', 1 - 4, Milovanovic U. (Pen),
90+1', Ntolla N. ↓, Schutte R. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 8).

Recent matches Mafra is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vizela is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vizela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
15.02.25	Tondela - Mafra	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Mafra - Chaves	0:0 ✺
Atlantic Cup
02.02.25	Brentford B - Mafra	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
01.02.25	Portimonense - Mafra	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Mafra - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWLT
- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
16.02.25	Vizela - Leixões	0:0 ✺
10.02.25	Torreense - Vizela	2:4 ✺
01.02.25	Vizela - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Penafiel - Vizela	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Vizela - Leiria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.09.24	Vizela - Mafra	3:0
Portuguese League Cup
05.12.22	Mafra - Vizela	1:1
Portuguese Liga 2
06.03.21	Vizela - Mafra	2:0
17.10.20	Mafra - Vizela	2:0

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