Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
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World	Onefootball


	Magdeburg		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.8	3.5	Watch
	1.93	3.8	3.6
	1.9	3.85	3.4	Watch
	2.02	4.05	3.6
	1.95	3.84	3.45	Watch
	1.91	3.8	3.4	Watch
	1.96	4	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.87)	3.88 ↓ (4.18)	3.48 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
48.5%

Draw
24.4%

Greuther Fürth
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

22.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

22.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Fürth will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Magdeburg (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Magdeburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (C) 4. Dzogovic E. 16. Mathisen M. 24. Hugonet J. 28. Geschwill M. 8. Ulrich L. 29. Ghrieb R. 38. Hyrylainen L. 11. Holmstrom A. 17. Nollenberger A. 23. Atik B.	26. Boevink P. (G) 4. Ziereis P. 23. Dehm J. 25. Bjarnason B. 27. Itter G. 6. Banse S. (C) 8. Olesen M. 16. Keller A. 30. Klaus F. 9. Futkeu N. 10. Hrgota B.
Substitutes
25. Gnaka S. 27. Hercher P. 3. Hoti A. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 21. Michel F. 5. Muller T. 10. Pesch N. 6. Stalmach D.	22. Cabrera J. 37. Green J. 18. Higl F. 24. John M. 17. Konig N. 1. Korber N. (G) 5. Munz R. 2. Reich L. 42. Sillah O.
Coaches
Fiedler M.	Kleine T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Keller A. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Futkeu N. ⚽, Hrgota B. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Holmstrom A. ⚽, Ulrich L. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 4)
59', Geschwill M. 🟨,
62', Banse S. ↓, Green J. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Klaus F. ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, Holmstrom A. ⚽, Hugonet J. (A),
67', Nollenberger A. 🟨,
69', 2 - 3, Futkeu N. ⚽, Ziereis P. (A),
71', Nollenberger A. 🟨,
71', Atik B. 🟨,
77', 2 - 4, Klaus F. ⚽,
82', Atik B. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
82', Geschwill M. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
82', Hyrylainen L. ↓, Pesch N. ↑,
82', Futkeu N. ↓, Higl F. ↑,
82', Keller A. ↓, John M. ↑,
83', 3 - 4, Ghrieb R. ⚽,
83', Ghrieb R. 🟨,
87', Ziereis P. 🟨,
89', Dzogovic E. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,
90', Ulrich L. ↓, Michel F. ↑,
90+1', Dehm J. 🟨,
90+1', Dehm J. ↓, Konig N. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 4, Pesch N. ⚽,
90+8', 4 - 5, John M. ⚽, Klaus F. (A),
90+10', Klaus F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Magdeburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Magdeburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Magdeburg: Diawara K. (Injury) Hercher P. (Inactive) Loric S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Fürth: Reich L. (Lacking Match Fitness) Schlieck T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Fürth: Ziereis P. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
23.08.25	Hannover - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Saarbrücken - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Magdeburg - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Magdeburg - Wolfsburg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLL
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
24.08.25	Greuther Fürth - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Greuther Fürth	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Greuther Fürth	3:2 ✺
03.08.25	Greuther Fürth - Dynamo Dresden	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Greuther Fürth - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
08.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	1:1
06.10.24	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	2:2
10.05.24	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	0:0
09.12.23	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	1:1
18.03.23	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	3:0
11.09.22	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	2:1
27.04.19	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	2:1

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