Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Magdeburg		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	2	3.9	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.8	3.2
	2	3.8	3.15	Watch
	2.07	4.1	3.47
	2.08	3.95	3.15	Watch
	2	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.01	3.78	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.26)	3.85 ↓ (3.87)	3.24 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
46.4%

Draw
24.5%

Hertha Berlin
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

24.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

23.9%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Magdeburg - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Hertha will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (C) 7. Bockhorn H. 16. Mathisen M. 24. Hugonet J. 19. Musonda L. 8. Ulrich L. 21. Michel F. 25. Gnaka S. 17. Nollenberger A. 22. Zukowski M. 23. Atik B.	1. Ernst T. (G) 42. Zeefuik D. 44. Gechter L. 31. Dardai M. 33. Karbownik M. 10. Cuisance M. 8. Sessa K. 22. Winkler M. 7. Brekalo J. 11. Reese F. (C) 18. Schuler L.
Substitutes
9. Breunig M. 28. Geschwill M. 27. Hercher P. 11. Holmstrom A. 40. Kampa R. (G) 13. Krempicki C. 10. Pesch N. 6. Stalmach D. 18. Tachie R.	6. Demme D. 28. Dudziak J. 2. Eitschberger J. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 17. Gronning S. 41. Klemens P. 27. Kolbe N. 14. Krattenmacher M. 37. Leistner T.
Coaches
Sander P.	Leitl S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Bockhorn H. 🟨,
42', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Zeefuik D. ↓, Eitschberger J. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Ulrich L. ⚽,
68', Sessa K. 🟨,
68', Schuler L. ↓, Gronning S. ↑,
69', Sessa K. ↓, Demme D. ↑,
69', Reese F. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
72', Demme D. 🟨,
73', Nollenberger A. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
78', Brekalo J. 🟨,
81', Hugonet J. 🟨,
82', Ulrich L. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
85', Winkler M. ↓, Dudziak J. ↑,
88', Zukowski M. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
88', Atik B. ↓, Tachie R. ↑,
89', Musonda L. ↓, Pesch N. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Magdeburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Magdeburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Magdeburg: Chahed T. (Hamstring Injury) Heber D. (Knee Injury) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Kruth N. (Injury) Loric S. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Inactive) Seguin P. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 2.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 3.5:3.5).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hertha Berlin: 24.53% Magdeburg: 4.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	7	7	0	0	19:8	11	21
4	Magdeburg	7	4	1	2	14:9	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
26.04.26	Nürnberg - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Paderborn - Magdeburg	4:3 ✺
04.04.26	Magdeburg - Bochum	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Preußen Münster - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
25.04.26	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hertha Berlin	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Hertha Berlin - Kaiserslautern	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Dynamo Dresden - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hertha Berlin	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
07.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	0:2
25.04.25	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	1:1
29.11.24	Magdeburg - Hertha Berlin	1:3
16.02.24	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	3:2
02.09.23	Magdeburg - Hertha Berlin	6:4

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