Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball


	Paderborn		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	3.4	Watch
	1.88	3.85	3.45	Watch
	1.92	4.12	3.9
	1.88	4.06	3.63	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.5
	1.85	3.94	3.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)	3.9 ↓ (4.08)	3.59 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paderborn
50.1%

Draw
23.9%

Magdeburg
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

23.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

22.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paderborn - Magdeburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Seimen D. (G) 25. Scheller T. 20. Gotze F. (C) 4. Brackelmann C. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 22. Hansen M. 23. Obermair R. 2. Muller R. 7. Bilbija F. 30. Marino S.	1. Reimann D. (C) 7. Bockhorn H. 16. Mathisen M. 5. Muller T. 19. Musonda L. 8. Ulrich L. 21. Michel F. 25. Gnaka S. 18. Tachie R. 22. Zukowski M. 23. Atik B.
Substitutes
9. Batzner N. 8. Kinsombi D. 26. Klaas S. 11. Michel S. 10. Okpala K. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 27. Tigges S.	29. Ghrieb R. 27. Hercher P. 11. Holmstrom A. 24. Hugonet J. 40. Kampa R. (G) 13. Krempicki C. 17. Nollenberger A. 10. Pesch N. 6. Stalmach D.
Coaches
Kettemann R.	Sander P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
4', Obermair R. 🟨,
9', Hansen M. 🟨,
11', Zukowski M. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Bilbija F. ⚽, Curda L. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Musonda L. ⚽, Zukowski M. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Bilbija F. ⚽, Brackelmann C. (A),
37', 2 - 2, Zukowski M. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 2, Bilbija F. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hansen M. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
46', Tachie R. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
59', 3 - 3, Ulrich L. ⚽,
71', Muller R. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
72', Obermair R. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
78', 4 - 3, Bilbija F. ⚽, Klaas S. (A),
79', Atik B. ↓, Nollenberger A. ↑,
79', Gnaka S. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
84', Bockhorn H. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
84', Marino S. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
84', Muller T. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
90+2', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.

Paderborn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Magdeburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Paderborn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paderborn could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Magdeburg: 3.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Magdeburg	7	4	1	2	14:9	5	13

Last Results with these Odds

Paderborn - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.91%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
05.04.26	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Paderborn - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kaiserslautern - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTTW
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
04.04.26	Magdeburg - Bochum	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Preußen Münster - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
13.03.26	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Elversberg - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
09.11.25	Magdeburg - Paderborn	0:1
10.05.25	Paderborn - Magdeburg	2:1
14.12.24	Magdeburg - Paderborn	1:1
03.03.24	Paderborn - Magdeburg	0:0
22.09.23	Magdeburg - Paderborn	1:1
11.03.23	Magdeburg - Paderborn	0:0
03.09.22	Paderborn - Magdeburg	1:0

Upcoming Matches