Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Olympiastadion (Berlin)

Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
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World	Onefootball


	Hertha Berlin		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.1	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3.8	3.6
	1.72	3.9	4.05
	1.78	4.17	4.53
	1.84	3.98	3.9	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4
	1.75	4.15	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.86)	3.97 ↑ (3.78)	4.05 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
52.9%

Draw
23.8%

Holstein Kiel
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

24.6%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

24%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernst T. (C) 42. Zeefuik D. 44. Gechter L. 31. Dardai M. 33. Karbownik M. 10. Cuisance M. 30. Seguin P. 22. Winkler M. 7. Brekalo J. 11. Reese F. 18. Schuler L.	1. Weiner T. (G) 23. Rosenboom L. 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 6. Ivezic M. 20. Kapralik A. 49. Ugoh I. 28. Meffert J. (C) 15. Davidsen K. 8. Tohumcu U. 19. Harres P.
Substitutes
2. Eitschberger J. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 41. Klemens P. 27. Kolbe N. 9. Kownacki D. 14. Krattenmacher M. 37. Leistner T. 21. Mamuzah Lum B. 8. Sessa K.	43. Borges L. 18. Jakupovic A. 3. Komenda M. 21. Krumrey J. (G) 25. Muller M. 29. Niehoff N. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S. 10. Therkelsen J.
Coaches
Leitl S.	Walter T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Cuisance M. 🟨,
10', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
18', Rosenboom L. 🟨,
45', Meffert J. 🟨,
45+1', Seguin P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ugoh I. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Therkelsen J. ⚽, Harres P. (A),
67', Schuler L. ↓, Kownacki D. ↑,
75', Reese F. 🟨,
80', Nekic I. 🟨,
80', Zeefuik D. ↓, Eitschberger J. ↑,
87', Seguin P. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
87', Kapralik A. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
87', Harres P. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
90+1', Davidsen K. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
90+2', Tohumcu U. 🟨,
90+3', Tohumcu U. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 12).

Recent performances by Hertha have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Holstein Kiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Holstein Kiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hertha might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Inactive) Eichhorn K. (Red Card)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Kelati A. (Muscle Injury) Muqaj H. (Inactive) Tolkin J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Hertha: Winkler M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Skrzybski S. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hertha Berlin: 32.01% Holstein Kiel: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	6	6	0	0	17:7	10	18
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
19.04.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hertha Berlin	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Hertha Berlin - Kaiserslautern	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Dynamo Dresden - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hertha Berlin	2:5 ✺
14.03.26	Hertha Berlin - Bochum	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWWT
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
17.04.26	Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
29.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin	0:1
01.03.24	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	2:2
24.09.23	Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin	2:3
Club Friendly
21.03.19	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	1:3

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