Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Magdeburg		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.65
	2.39	3.55	2.7	Watch
	2.52	3.73	2.75
	2.46	3.64	2.71	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.47	3.6	2.68	Watch
	2.39	3.55	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.51)	3.6 ↓ (3.8)	2.71 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
38.8%

Draw
26.3%

Hamburger SV
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

24.8%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

25.3%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	16.7%	38.9%

Magdeburg - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (C) 24. Hugonet J. 16. Mathisen M. 5. Muller T. 2. Loric S. 25. Gnaka S. 17. Nollenberger A. 14. El-Zein A. 29. Burcu L. 9. Kaars M. 23. Atik B.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 8. Elfadli D. 28. Muheim M. 17. Karabec A. 23. Meffert J. 14. Reis L. (C) 29. Sahiti E. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 7. Dompe J.
Substitutes
20. Amaechi X. 27. Hercher P. 12. Holmstrom A. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 21. Michel F. 22. Nadjombe P. 3. Pfeiffer P. 6. Stalmach D.	45. Balde F. 9. Glatzel R. 30. Hefti S. 16. Mebude A. 12. Mickel T. (G) 10. Pherai I. 20. Richter M. 4. Schonlau S. 49. Stange O.
Coaches
Titz C.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽,
12', Elfadli D. 🟨,
15', 0 - 2, Mathisen M. (Own goal),
19', Mikelbrencis W. 🟨,
38', Loric S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Loric S. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
46', Mathisen M. ↓, Pfeiffer P. ↑,
46', Burcu L. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
46', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Hefti S. ↑,
53', 0 - 3, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
55', Meffert J. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
70', Atik B. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
73', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
73', Sahiti E. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
83', Hugonet J. ↓, Michel F. ↑,
88', Karabec A. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 2.

Recent matches Magdeburg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamburg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Magdeburg: Bockhorn H. (Knee Injury) El Hankouri M. (Groin Injury) Heber D. (Yellow Cards) Kuhinja E. (Knee Injury) Musonda L. (Muscle Injury) Teixeira B. (Eye injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Tendon Injury) Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand) Selke D. (Yellow Cards) Soumahoro A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Hamburg: Pherai I. (Muscle Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.5:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Magdeburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
08.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	4:1 ✺
22.02.25	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
14.02.25	Magdeburg - Köln	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Magdeburg - Nürnberg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLWL
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
08.03.25	Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:1 ✺
02.03.25	Paderborn - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Hamburger SV - Kaiserslautern	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Preußen Münster - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
20.10.24	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	3:1
14.04.24	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	2:2
04.11.23	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	2:0
29.04.23	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	3:2
23.10.22	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	2:3
08.04.19	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	1:2
26.10.18	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	0:1

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