Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Winter N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub 7
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2.1
	3.25	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.37	3.47	2.14	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.58)	3.51 ↓ (3.55)	2.12 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
28.8%

Draw
26.8%

Magdeburg
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

26.5%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

26.1%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	20%	66.7%

Ulm 1846 - Magdeburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 20%). Magdeburg (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ulm (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Magdeburg (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiede N. (G) 4. Gaal T. 5. Reichert J. (C) 32. Strompf P. 7. Allgeier B. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. 16. Keller A. 21. Batista Meier O. 29. Telalovic S. 33. Higl F.	1. Reimann D. (C) 24. Hugonet J. 16. Mathisen M. 5. Muller T. 27. Hercher P. 25. Gnaka S. 17. Nollenberger A. 14. El-Zein A. 29. Burcu L. 9. Kaars M. 23. Atik B.
Substitutes
11. Chessa D. 38. Hyrylainen L. 22. Kahvic A. 27. Kolbe N. 30. Krattenmacher M. 10. Ludwig A. 39. Ortag C. (G) 43. Rosch R. 9. Roser L.	20. Amaechi X. 31. Baars M. 34. Chahed T. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 21. Michel F. 22. Nadjombe P. 3. Pfeiffer P. 8. Teixeira B.
Coaches
Lechleiter R.	Titz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Telalovic S. ⚽, Keller A. (A),
29', El-Zein A. ↓, Krempicki C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Dressel D. 🟨,
68', Batista Meier O. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
77', Atik B. 🟨,
77', Hercher P. ↓, Teixeira B. ↑,
77', Nollenberger A. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
79', Telalovic S. ↓, Hyrylainen L. ↑,
79', Higl F. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
83', Burcu L. ↓, Baars M. ↑,
87', Higl F. 🟨,
90', Brandt M. 🟨,
90', Brandt M. ↓, Chessa D. ↑,
90+7', Krempicki C. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ulm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Magdeburg will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Ulm: Stoll L. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Magdeburg: Bockhorn H. (Knee Injury) El Hankouri M. (Groin Injury) Heber D. (Thigh Injury) Kuhinja E. (Knee Injury) Musonda L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ulm: Strompf P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Magdeburg: Muller T. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
06.04.25	Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.25	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Ulm 1846 - Köln	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWTL
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
06.04.25	Magdeburg - Kaiserslautern	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Hannover - Magdeburg	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.25	Odra Opole - Magdeburg	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
14.03.25	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
09.11.24	Magdeburg - Ulm 1846	0:0

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