Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 28

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: MDCC-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Thomsen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Sweden	Viaplay


	Magdeburg		Sandhausen

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.63	4	5.25
	1.65	4	4.8
	1.61	4.25	5.76
	1.55	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.59	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.59	4.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.82)	4.06 ↑ (3.73)	5.38 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
59.1%

Draw
23.3%

Sandhausen
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

24.6%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magdeburg's performance.

Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sandhausen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magdeburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sandhausen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	10.5%	5.3%

Magdeburg - Sandhausen Predictions

Users Predictions: Magdeburg will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Magdeburg has the most likely position - 12 (17.43%), project points - 40, currently - 32, a very small chance of relegated (4%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Sandhausen has the most likely position - 18 (79.71%), project points - 28, currently - 21, a good chance of relegated (95%), not chance of promoted.

This event has small quality 21, small importance 18, small match rating 20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Magdeburg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sandhausen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Magdeburg is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Magdeburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
09.04.23	Jahn Regensburg - Magdeburg	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Magdeburg - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
18.03.23	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	3:0 ✺
11.03.23	Magdeburg - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
03.03.23	Magdeburg - Kaiserslautern	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLTW
- SV Sandhausen
German 2 Bundesliga
09.04.23	Sandhausen - Greuther Fürth	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Hannover - Sandhausen	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.23	Darmstadt - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.03.23	Sandhausen - St. Pauli	0:5 ✺
10.03.23	Kaiserslautern - Sandhausen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
09.10.22	Sandhausen - Magdeburg	1:0
10.03.19	Magdeburg - Sandhausen	0:1
30.09.18	Sandhausen - Magdeburg	0:1

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