Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Nova Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Magdeburg		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.82	Watch
	4.1	3.89	1.89
	2.99	3.79	2.18	Watch
	4.07	3.81	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.99)	3.8 ↑ (3.79)	1.92 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
25.4%

Draw
25%

Paderborn
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

25%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

25.2%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Magdeburg's form might have worsened.

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paderborn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Magdeburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paderborn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	3.1%	87.5%

Magdeburg - Paderborn Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Paderborn (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.04% – 98.96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paderborn will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Paderborn (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (C) 38. Hyrylainen L. 16. Mathisen M. 28. Geschwill M. 25. Gnaka S. 8. Ulrich L. 21. Michel F. 19. Musonda L. 29. Ghrieb R. 11. Holmstrom A. 17. Nollenberger A.	41. Seimen D. (G) 22. Hansen M. 20. Gotze F. (C) 25. Scheller T. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 26. Klaas S. 23. Obermair R. 7. Bilbija F. 27. Tigges S. 30. Marino S.
Substitutes
9. Breunig M. 39. Diawara K. 4. Dzogovic E. 27. Hercher P. 3. Hoti A. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 10. Pesch N. 6. Stalmach D.	9. Batzner N. 5. Castaneda S. 28. Copado L. 6. Engelns L. 11. Michel S. 2. Muller R. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 18. Worner M.
Coaches
Fiedler M.	Kettemann R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Klaas S. ⚽, Bilbija F. (A),
13', Gotze F. 🟨,
20', Bilbija F. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
40', Musonda L. 🟨,
44', Nollenberger A. 🟨,
45+2', Curda L. 🟨,
45+6', Michel F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Curda L. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
46', Marino S. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
55', Scheller T. 🟨,
62', Holmstrom A. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
72', Klaas S. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,
77', Michel F. ↓, Pesch N. ↑,
89', Gnaka S. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
89', Hyrylainen L. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
90+2', Ghrieb R. 🟨,
90+3', Batzner N. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
90+5', Castaneda S. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 0.

Recent performances by Magdeburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paderborn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Magdeburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paderborn could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Magdeburg: Atik B. (Yellow Cards) Chahed T. (Muscle Injury) Hugonet J. (Injury) Loric S. (Leg Injury) Zukowski M. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Magdeburg: Muller T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Paderborn: Baur M. (Injury) Brackelmann C. (Back Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Magdeburg - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.64%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Paderborn - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.4%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
02.11.25	Bochum - Magdeburg	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Illertissen - Magdeburg	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.25	Magdeburg - Preußen Münster	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Magdeburg - Elversberg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWTL
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
02.11.25	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Paderborn - Bayer Leverkusen	2:4 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld	4:3 ✺
03.10.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
10.05.25	Paderborn - Magdeburg	2:1
14.12.24	Magdeburg - Paderborn	1:1
03.03.24	Paderborn - Magdeburg	0:0
22.09.23	Magdeburg - Paderborn	1:1
11.03.23	Magdeburg - Paderborn	0:0
03.09.22	Paderborn - Magdeburg	1:0
24.02.19	Magdeburg - Paderborn	1:1

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