Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 21

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: MDCC-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 4


	Magdeburg		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.8	Watch
	3.9	3.8	1.85	Watch
	4	3.75	1.83	Watch
	4	4	1.88
	4.23	3.85	1.87
	3.8	3.8	1.75	Watch
	3.96	3.88	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.7	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.1)	3.8 ↓ (3.83)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
23.3%

Draw
25%

St. Pauli
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

24.7%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

24.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Magdeburg - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 2 - 20%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (G) 21. Muller T. 6. Elfadli D. 15. Heber D. 7. Bockhorn H. 25. Gnaka S. 19. Bell Bell L. 11. El Hankouri M. 20. Amaechi X. 26. Schuler L. 23. Atik B. (C)	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 36. Kemlein A. 10. Hartel M. (C) 23. Treu P. 17. Afolayan O. 11. Eggestein J. 26. Saad E.
Substitutes
9. Castaignos L. 10. Ceka J. 29. Conde A. 3. Hoti A. 37. Ito T. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 18. Kuhinja E. 17. Nollenberger A.	19. Albers A. 16. Boukhalfa C. 30. Burchert S. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 9. Maurides 24. Metcalfe C. 4. Nemeth D. 21. Ritzka L. 15. Sinani D.
Coaches
Titz C.	Hurzeler F.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 0.

Magdeburg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches St. Pauli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St. Pauli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Magdeburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
02.02.24	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Magdeburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.24	Sepsi OSK - Magdeburg	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLL
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
03.02.24	St. Pauli - Greuther Fürth	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.01.24	St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:3 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
27.01.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	St. Pauli - Kaiserslautern	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.24	Excelsior - St. Pauli	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
27.08.23	St. Pauli - Magdeburg	0:0
18.02.23	Magdeburg - St. Pauli	1:2
14.08.22	St. Pauli - Magdeburg	3:0
German DFB Pokal
07.08.21	Magdeburg - St. Pauli	2:3
German 2 Bundesliga
22.12.18	St. Pauli - Magdeburg	4:1
05.08.18	Magdeburg - St. Pauli	1:2

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