Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Europa point stadium (Gibraltar)

Referee: McLaughlin P. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	NUFC TV


	Magpies		Paide LM

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.62	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.78
	5	3.75	1.62	Watch
	4.4	3.65	1.65
				Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.8
	4.87	3.9	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (6.65)	3.65 ↓ (4.58)	1.69 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magpies
20.5%

Draw
25.2%

Paide LM
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

19.9%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magpies's performance.

Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paide LM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Magpies - Paide LM Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Paide (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Paide (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paide LM will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paide LM will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Paide (votes: 20 - 87%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Funez S. (G) 4. Britto J. 32. Ronco K. (C) 24. Villar F. M. 2. Busto E. 15. Stevens H. 14. Perera J. 17. Krasniqi K. 10. Del Rio J. 9. Borge D. 23. Campana M.	99. Jarju E. (C) 2. Lilander M. 23. Delevic M. 5. Juhkam G. 29. Saliste J. 6. Gilmore L. 10. Miller M. 25. Gueye M. 77. Luts D. 9. Reinkort S. 14. Saarma R.
Substitutes
16. Clinton L. 8. De Haro E. 11. Dominguez C. 21. Fernandez S. 6. Hernandez A. 19. Mendez J. 20. Parkes V. 3. Parody A. 12. Tudela D. (G)	27. Baranov N. 17. Cham P. A. 7. Corr P. 28. Hoim O. 70. Isakar R. (G) 19. Luts S. 12. Meerits M. (G) 15. Ojamaa H. 22. Soo S. 20. Suso M.
Coaches
Loen Y.	Vassiljev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Saarma R. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Britto J. ⚽, Krasniqi K. (A),
43', 1 - 2, Miller M. ⚽, Saarma R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Saliste J. 🟨,
54', 2 - 2, Del Rio J. ⚽,
63', Reinkort S. ↓, Corr P. ↑,
64', Stevens H. ↓, Clinton L. ↑,
64', Campana M. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
75', Gilmore L. ↓, Hoim O. ↑,
75', Del Rio J. ↓, Parkes V. ↑,
76', Perera J. 🟨,
87', Luts D. ↓, Luts S. ↑,
88', Lilander M. ↓, Cham P. A. ↑,
90+1', Miller M. 🟨,
90+3', Borge D. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 3, Saarma R. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Paide is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Magpies may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paide is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCB Magpies
Gibraltar National League
04.05.25	Europa - Magpies	4:2 ✺
27.04.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Magpies	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Magpies - Manchester 62	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Magpies - St Josephs	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Lions Gibraltar - Magpies	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.25	Paide LM - Levadia Tallinn	0:3 ✺
28.06.25	Tammeka - Paide LM	0:2 ✺
21.06.25	Paide LM - Flora Tallinn	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Flora Tallinn - Paide LM	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWW

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