Match Info

Pernambucano - Round 5

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadium Arthur Tavares de Melo (Bonito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Maguary		Decisão

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	6.3
	1.48	3.94	7.08
	1.44	4.07	6.61	Watch
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.43	3.8	7.17
	1.47	4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)	3.87 ↑ (3.79)	6.86 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maguary
62.9%

Draw
23.7%

Decisão
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

24.5%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maguary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Decisão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maguary than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Decisão than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Maguary - Decisão Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maguary (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Maguary (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Maguary (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juliano (G) 7. Bruno Vinicius 2. Eduardo 20. Erick 4. Guedes 8. Italo (C) 10. Julio Cesar 11. Marcos Andre 3. Mauricio Pinto 6. Rychelmy 29. Vinicius Kanu	12. Joao Gabriel (C) 2. Almeida da Silva K. D. 19. Bambam 16. Batista R. 5. Caio Bahia 8. Eder Monteiro 7. Fernando Portel 3. Israel 6. Mateus Rodrigues 18. Pablinho 14. Xandinho
Substitutes
12. Bruno Lopes (G) 17. Francisco 21. Gabriel Furtado 19. Henrique Paraiba 18. Iago Felipe 5. Jalysson 33. Keu (G) 23. Mattheus Silva 9. Mayco Felix 22. Memo 14. Nathan Silva 15. Vinicius Barcellos	21. Cesar Leite M. 15. Henrique Araujo 10. Jonas 9. Luis Lipek 13. Marolla 1. Mateus Raffler (G) 11. Mosquito 4. Pedrao 17. Richarles 20. Yan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Bruno Vinicius 🟨,
12', Almeida da Silva K. D. 🟨,
30', Marcos Andre ↓, Francisco ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Vinicius Kanu ⚽,
41', Rychelmy 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', Bruno Vinicius ↓, Memo ↑,
46', Rychelmy ↓, Mattheus Silva ↑,
46', Erick ↓, Gabriel Furtado ↑,
46', Almeida da Silva K. D. ↓, Richarles ↑,
46', Fernando Portel ↓, Jonas ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Julio Cesar ⚽,
60', 🟨,
63', 3 - 0, Eduardo ⚽,
66', Batista R. ↓, Mosquito ↑,
66', Xandinho ↓, Cesar Leite M. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Bambam ⚽,
76', 3 - 2, Bambam ⚽,
80', 3 - 3, Mateus Rodrigues ⚽,
82', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
87', 3 - 4, Bambam ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Maguary may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Maguary is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maguary won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Including home match between the teams, Maguary won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Maguary
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
21.01.26	Vitória das Tabocas - Maguary	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Maguary - Retrô Brasil	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Maguary - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Maguary	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.12.25	Serra Branca - Maguary	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTLL
- Decisão FC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
21.01.26	Sport Recife - Decisão	5:0 ✺
17.01.26	Decisão - Jaguar	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Decisão - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Decisão	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.26	Decisão - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.02.25	Maguary - Decisão	5:0

Maguary - Decisão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide