Match Info

Pernambucano - Round 1

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Náutico Capibaribe		Maguary

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.95	6.7
	1.42	4.05	7	Watch
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.4	4.1	8.1
	1.44	4.2	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.43)	3.96 ↓ (4.06)	7.16 ↓ (7.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
64.1%

Draw
23.1%

Maguary
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.7%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Maguary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Náutico Capibaribe - Maguary Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Muriel Becker (G) 2. Arnaldo 10. Dodo 23. Igor Fernandes 17. Jonas Toro 25. Mateus Silva 9. Paulo Sergio 41. Samuel 7. Vinicius 8. Wenderson 6. Yuri	1. Juliano (G) 7. Bruno Vinicius 2. Eduardo 6. Gabriel Fontes 4. Guedes 8. Italo 10. Julio Cesar 11. Marcos Andre 3. Mauricio Pinto 9. Mayco Felix 22. Memo (C)
Substitutes
5. Auremir 21. Felipe Redaelli 98. Felipe Saraiva 55. Guruceaga G. (G) 13. Indio 15. Kayon 27. Luiz Felipe 40. Ramon 93. Reginaldo 31. Rosa 34. Samuel Otusanya 43. Wanderson	12. Bruno Lopes (G) 13. Deyvson 20. Erick 17. Francisco 18. Iago Felipe 5. Jalysson 14. Nathan Silva 21. Richardson 15. Vinicius Barcellos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Eduardo 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Samuel ↓, Ramon ↑,
54', Mayco Felix ↓, Richardson ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Paulo Sergio ⚽,
61', 2 - 0, Paulo Sergio ⚽,
65', Wenderson ↓, Auremir ↑,
65', Jonas Toro ↓, Felipe Saraiva ↑,
67', Italo ↓, Jalysson ↑,
70', Eduardo ↓, Deyvson ↑,
70', Julio Cesar ↓, Francisco ↑,
75', Arnaldo ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
76', Muriel Becker 🟨,
79', Mateus Silva ↓, Wanderson ↑,

Preview

In this match, Náutico is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Brusque	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ponte Preta - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Guarani	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTLL
- AA Maguary
Club Friendly
23.12.25	Serra Branca - Maguary	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
16.03.25	Maguary - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Retrô Brasil - Maguary	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Maguary - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Afogados da Ingazeira - Maguary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
30.01.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Maguary	2:0
21.01.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Maguary	0:0
18.03.23	Maguary - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1

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