Match Info

Pernambucano - Round 7

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Jaguar		Maguary

	1	X	2
	5.3	4.25	1.5
	4.77	4.77	1.5
	5.1	4.52	1.48	Watch
	5	4	1.44
	6.34	4.45	1.39
	5.75	4.25	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.38 ↓ (7.52)	4.37 ↑ (4.29)	1.47 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguar
17%

Draw
20.9%

Maguary
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

21.4%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

20.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Maguary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaguar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maguary than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maguary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jaguar - Maguary Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Igor (G) 3. Cruz R. 18. Edson Silva 11. Erik 13. Gil Mineiro 16. Guilherme 17. Jailton 23. Leo Mago 2. Medina 15. Paulo Miranda 8. Ruan Pablo	1. Juliano (G) 7. Bruno Vinicius 2. Eduardo 17. Francisco 6. Gabriel Fontes 4. Guedes 18. Iago Felipe 5. Jalysson 10. Julio Cesar 3. Mauricio Pinto 29. Vinicius Kanu
Substitutes
5. Anderson Sao Joao 21. Gabriel Dinamite 14. Jackson 26. Jefferson Recife 25. Juba V. 12. Juca (G) 20. Juninho 10. Lele 6. Nilson 22. Oliveira F. 27. Ricardinho 9. Wallace	12. Bruno Lopes (G) 21. Gabriel Furtado 19. Henrique Paraiba 33. Keu (G) 9. Mayco Felix 14. Nathan Silva 27. Richardson 16. Rychelmy 15. Vinicius Barcellos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Guilherme ↓, Jefferson Recife ↑,
38', Iago Felipe 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Ribeiro E. ⚽,
63', Erik ↓, Juba V. ↑,
64', Jailton Paraiba ↓, Wallace ↑,
78', Bruno Vinicius ↓, Richardson ↑,
78', Vinicius Kanu ↓, Gabriel Furtado ↑,
78', Francisco ↓, Mayco Felix ↑,
79', Ruan Pablo ↓, Gabriel Dinamite ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Gabriel Furtado ⚽,
90+1', Iago Felipe ↓, Vinicius Barcellos ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Edson Silva ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Pernambucano 2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Jaguar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maguary has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Jaguar has had a series of away games.

Recently, Maguary has had a series of home games.

In this match, Maguary is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaguar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Jaguar
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
28.01.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Jaguar	6:0 ✺
25.01.26	Retrô Brasil - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
22.01.26	Jaguar - Náutico Capibaribe	0:4 ✺
17.01.26	Decisão - Jaguar	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Vitória das Tabocas - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLLT
- AA Maguary
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
28.01.26	Maguary - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Maguary - Decisão	3:4 ✺
21.01.26	Vitória das Tabocas - Maguary	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Maguary - Retrô Brasil	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Maguary - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
12.02.25	Maguary - Jaguar	2:1

Jaguar - Maguary: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide