Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 15

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Maidenhead United		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.2
	2.87	3.3	2.1
	3	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.16	3.59	2.2
	3.16	3.47	2.17	Watch
	3	3.4	2.1
	3.09	3.46	2.13
	3	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.29)	3.47 ↓ (3.49)	2.16 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
30.4%

Draw
26.7%

Oldham Athletic
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

26.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

25.7%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Maidenhead United - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ross C. (G) 25. Barratt S. 19. Cochrane O. 4. De Havilland W. 8. Ferguson N. 26. Golding J. 5. Lokko K. 9. McCoulsky S. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R. 22. Welch-Hayes M.	1. Hudson M. (G) 10. Conlon T. 31. Drummond K. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 3. Kitching M. 8. Lundstram J. 6. Monthe M. 2. Ogle R. 26. Payne K. 16. Raglan C. 21. Sutton W.
Substitutes
32. Ajose J. 7. Carvalho R. 1. Collins H. (G) 10. Ferdinand K. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 24. Massey A. 14. Sho-Silva T.	20. Caprice J. 19. Gardner D. 11. Kay J. 35. Moloney S. (G) 30. Norwood J. 15. Stretton J. 17. Uchegbulam J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Golding J. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Monthe M. (Own goal),
44', 2 - 1, Monthe M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sutton W. ↓, Caprice J. ↑,
56', Drummond K. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
60', Norwood J. 🟨,
60', Fondop-Talum M. 🟨,
72', Ross C. 🟨,
75', Monthe M. 🟨,
76', Lundstram J. ↓, Kay J. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Raglan C. ⚽,
84', Golding J. ↓, Ferdinand K. ↑,
86', Cochrane O. ↓, Latty-Fairweather T. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Oldham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Oldham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Maidenhead won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League
19.10.24	Maidenhead United - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.24	Maidenhead United - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
12.10.24	Taunton Town - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
English National League
05.10.24	Southend United - Maidenhead United	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Boston United - Maidenhead United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWTWW
- Oldham Athletic
English National League
19.10.24	Sutton United - Oldham Athletic	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Oldham Athletic - Halifax Town	4:2 ✺
English National League
05.10.24	Oldham Athletic - Solihull Moors	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Ebbsfleet United - Oldham Athletic	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Oldham Athletic - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
17.02.24	Maidenhead United - Oldham Athletic	1:3
03.10.23	Oldham Athletic - Maidenhead United	1:1
15.04.23	Oldham Athletic - Maidenhead United	1:0
08.10.22	Maidenhead United - Oldham Athletic	1:1

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