Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 14

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)


	Sutton United		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.6
	2.3	3.3	2.55
	2.5	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.52	3.52	2.71
	2.5	3.47	2.65
	2.4	3.3	2.62
	2.46	3.38	2.58
	2.5	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.45)	3.41 ↑ (3.33)	2.63 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
37.6%

Draw
27.2%

Oldham Athletic
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

27.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Sutton United - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Arnold S. (G) 14. Barbrook F. 7. Coley J. 9. Davies W. 4. French T. (C) 23. Harris J. J. 35. Kirk A. 24. Nadesan A. 3. Okoli C. 8. Simper L. 18. Waller C.	1. Hudson M. (G) 10. Conlon T. (C) 31. Drummond K. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 3. Kitching M. 8. Lundstram J. 6. Monthe M. 2. Ogle R. 26. Payne K. 16. Raglan C. 21. Sutton W.
Substitutes
17. Boateng N. 11. De Silva D. 6. Odelusi S. 10. Rush M. 1. Sims J. (G) 19. Sivi J. 12. Vaz E.	20. Caprice J. 19. Gardner D. 11. Kay J. 35. Moloney S. (G) 30. Norwood J. 15. Stretton J. 17. Uchegbulam J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
28', Simper L. ↓, Odelusi S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Sutton W. 🟨,
47', 1 - 1, Davies W. ⚽,
51', Okoli C. 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Raglan C. ⚽,
58', Nadesan A. 🟨,
60', Drummond K. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
63', Nadesan A. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
63', Coley J. ↓, Sivi J. ↑,
71', Sutton W. ↓, Caprice J. ↑,
76', Lundstram J. ↓, Kay J. ↑,
89', Waller C. ↓, Rush M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Norwood J. ⚽,
90+3', Conlon T. ↓, Stretton J. ↑,
90+3', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Gardner D. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Oldham have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Chertsey Town - Sutton United	1:3 ✺
English National League
05.10.24	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	4:3 ✺
28.09.24	Woking - Sutton United	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Sutton United - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Sutton United - Ebbsfleet United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWTW
- Oldham Athletic
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Oldham Athletic - Halifax Town	4:2 ✺
English National League
05.10.24	Oldham Athletic - Solihull Moors	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Ebbsfleet United - Oldham Athletic	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Oldham Athletic - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Oldham Athletic - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
22.03.22	Oldham Athletic - Sutton United	1:3
28.08.21	Sutton United - Oldham Athletic	1:2

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