The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maidenhead United 40.9%
Draw 27%
Hartlepool United 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
27.6%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
27.5%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Maidenhead United - Hartlepool United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ross C. (G) 25. Barratt S. 4. De Havilland W. 8. Ferguson N. 26. Golding J. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 5. Lokko K. 9. McCoulsky S. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R. 22. Welch-Hayes M.
31. Young B. (G) 20. Dieseruvwe E. 2. Dodds D. 16. Featherstone N. 3. Ferguson D. 12. Grey J. 18. Mathurin R. 4. Parkes T. 14. Sheron N. 15. Sloggett G. 5. Waterfall L.
Substitutes
32. Ajose J. 7. Carvalho R. 19. Cochrane O. 1. Collins H. (G) 24. Massey A. 14. Sho-Silva T. 21. Uwakwe T.
19. Asiimwe N. 10. Campbell A. 11. Charman L. 8. Mancini A. 26. Robinson D. 17. Sass-Davies B. 41. Smith A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Barratt S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Sloggett G. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,
57', Mathurin R. ↓, Charman L. ↑,
58', Latty-Fairweather T. 🟨,
64', Grey J. ↓, Mancini A. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Campbell A. ⚽,
71', Ferguson N. 🟨,
87', Golding J. ↓, Ajose J. ↑,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 2.
Maidenhead in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Hartlepool is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.4:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Maidenhead won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Hartlepool United - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.01%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.