Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 30

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday


	Maidstone United		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.6
	1.99	3.38	3.87
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.95	3.42	3.66
	2	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.14)	3.38 ↓ (3.64)	3.59 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidstone United
47%

Draw
27.3%

Braintree Town
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.1%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

24.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braintree Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braintree Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Maidstone United - Braintree Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Maidstone United will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidstone won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Maidstone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Maidstone will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Maidstone won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Maidstone won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidstone United
English National League South
20.01.24	Slough Town - Maidstone United	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Maidstone United	2:1 ✺
09.01.24	Maidstone United - Dartford	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Maidstone United - Stevenage Borough	1:0 ✺
English National League South
01.01.24	Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWWW
- Braintree Town
English National League South
06.01.24	Braintree Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:1 ✺
01.01.24	Chelmsford City - Braintree Town	3:0 ✺
26.12.23	Braintree Town - Chelmsford City	0:3 ✺
23.12.23	Farnborough - Braintree Town	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Braintree Town - Aveley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
15.08.23	Braintree Town - Maidstone United	1:2
19.03.22	Braintree Town - Maidstone United	1:2
08.03.22	Maidstone United - Braintree Town	1:0
19.01.21	Maidstone United - Braintree Town	0:2
08.02.20	Maidstone United - Braintree Town	1:0
29.10.19	Braintree Town - Maidstone United	1:1
English National League
19.04.19	Maidstone United - Braintree Town	0:2

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