Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 25

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday


	Braintree Town		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.38	3.29
	2.15	3.38	3.29
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2.12	3.34	3.22
	2.1	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.5)	3.32 (3.32)	3.26 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
43.9%

Draw
27.8%

Chelmsford City
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.4%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Braintree Town's performance.

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelmsford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braintree Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelmsford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Braintree Town - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braintree won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Braintree have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Braintree won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
23.12.23	Farnborough - Braintree Town	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Braintree Town - Aveley	1:0 ✺
05.12.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Slough Town - Braintree Town	3:0 ✺
21.11.23	Dartford - Braintree Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWTLW
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
23.12.23	Chelmsford City - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	St Albans City - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
English National League South
02.12.23	Bath City - Chelmsford City	2:3 ✺
25.11.23	Chelmsford City - Truro City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.01.23	Braintree Town - Chelmsford City	2:2
26.12.22	Chelmsford City - Braintree Town	2:0
08.02.22	Braintree Town - Chelmsford City	2:2
26.12.21	Chelmsford City - Braintree Town	3:0
02.01.21	Chelmsford City - Braintree Town	4:2
01.01.20	Braintree Town - Chelmsford City	1:2
26.12.19	Chelmsford City - Braintree Town	4:1

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