Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 23

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Braintree Town		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.25
	1.8	3.4	3.75
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.88	3.66	3.83
	1.89	3.69	3.86
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.88	3.52	3.76
	1.84	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.31)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)	3.73 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
49.2%

Draw
26.2%

Aveley
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

26.1%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Braintree Town's performance.

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aveley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braintree Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aveley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Braintree Town - Aveley Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Braintree will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Aveley will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Aveley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Braintree have a series of guest games.

Braintree will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Braintree won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
05.12.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Slough Town - Braintree Town	3:0 ✺
21.11.23	Dartford - Braintree Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Gloucester City - Braintree Town	3:0 ✺
English National League South
14.11.23	Braintree Town - Welling United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLWLW
- Aveley
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Aveley - Hungerford Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League South
04.12.23	Aveley - Welling United	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Aveley - Farnborough	3:4 ✺
25.11.23	Weymouth - Aveley	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Tonbridge Angels - Aveley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.09.23	Aveley - Braintree Town	1:1

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