Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 24

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Farnborough		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.87
	2.15	3.5	3	Watch
	2.25	3.48	3.07
	2.25	3.48	3.07
	2.05	3.5	2.9
	2.13	3.54	3.04
	2.14	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.05)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	2.99 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
42.7%

Draw
26.6%

Braintree Town
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

26.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Farnborough - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Braintree could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Braintree have a series of guest games.

Farnborough will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Farnborough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English National League South
16.12.23	Slough Town - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
09.12.23	Taunton Town - Farnborough	4:0 ✺
02.12.23	Aveley - Farnborough	3:4 ✺
25.11.23	Farnborough - Bath City	2:2 ✺
21.11.23	Farnborough - Worthing	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWTL
- Braintree Town
English National League South
16.12.23	Braintree Town - Aveley	1:0 ✺
05.12.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Slough Town - Braintree Town	3:0 ✺
21.11.23	Dartford - Braintree Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Gloucester City - Braintree Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.09.23	Braintree Town - Farnborough	1:1
25.02.23	Farnborough - Braintree Town	0:1
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Farnborough - Braintree Town	2:3 penalties
English National League South
15.11.22	Braintree Town - Farnborough	0:0

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