Match Info

National League South - Round 25

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Chelmsford City		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.62	3.15	2.58
	2.74	3.15	2.57
	2.71	3.21	2.57	Watch
	2.75	3	2.5
	2.64	3.02	2.5
	2.75	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.67)	3.09 ↓ (3.36)	2.52 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
34%

Draw
29.6%

Maidstone United
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

27.1%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chelmsford City - Maidstone United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chelmsford will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmsford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Chelmsford (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmsford (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, Taylor L. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Carvalho R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 1.

In recent matches, Chelmsford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maidstone is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Maidstone: 9.77% Chelmsford: 5.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maidstone	10	6	1	3	18:11	7	19
16	Chelmsford	9	1	8	0	9:8	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
14.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chelmsford City	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	5:0 ✺
26.01.26	Chelmsford City - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Horsham - Chelmsford City	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWW
- Maidstone United
English National League South
14.02.26	Chippenham Town - Maidstone United	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Eastbourne Borough - Maidstone United	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Maidstone United - Slough Town	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Maidstone United - Ebbsfleet United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.08.25	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	0:0
27.01.25	Chelmsford City - Maidstone United	0:0
03.09.24	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	1:5
12.03.24	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	2:0
20.11.23	Chelmsford City - Maidstone United	0:1
30.04.22	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	3:1
21.08.21	Chelmsford City - Maidstone United	1:2

Upcoming Matches