Match Info

National League South - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Horsham

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.3	2.35
	3.01	3.32	2.31
	7.29	4.29	1.42	Watch
	2.84	3.38	2.32
	2.9	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.98)	3.54 ↑ (3.44)	2.11 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
26%

Draw
27.6%

Horsham
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.8%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

26.7%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Tonbridge Angels - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Barker D. R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Akehurst B. ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, Rodrigues L. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 13).

Tonbridge is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Horsham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Tonbridge Angels - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.92%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chatham Town	1:2 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Tonbridge Angels - Cray Valley Paper Mills	5:0 ✺
27.09.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Tonbridge Angels	0:0 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWWTW
- Horsham FC
English National League South
11.10.25	Dover Athletic - Horsham	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Hornchurch - Horsham	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Horsham - Totton	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Maidstone United - Horsham	0:3 ✺
02.09.25	Horsham - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TTLWW

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