Match Info

National League South - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.87
	2.22	3.3	2.92
	2.23	3.74	2.88
	2.27	3.46	2.89	Watch
	2.27	3.28	2.99
	2.18	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.43)	3.4 ↑ (3.38)	2.92 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
41.4%

Draw
27.1%

Dover Athletic
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Tonbridge Angels - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 4.

Tonbridge is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dover has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dover may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tonbridge will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tonbridge won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Tonbridge Angels - Cray Valley Paper Mills	5:0 ✺
27.09.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Tonbridge Angels	0:0 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Salisbury - Tonbridge Angels	1:3 ✺
02.09.25	Tonbridge Angels - Enfield Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WTWWL
- Dover Athletic
English National League South
27.09.25	Hornchurch - Dover Athletic	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Dover Athletic - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Farnborough - Dover Athletic	4:1 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Farnborough - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Dover Athletic - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.01.24	Dover Athletic - Tonbridge Angels	1:2
15.08.23	Tonbridge Angels - Dover Athletic	1:0
24.01.23	Tonbridge Angels - Dover Athletic	4:0
16.08.22	Dover Athletic - Tonbridge Angels	1:2
10.04.14	Tonbridge Angels - Dover Athletic	0:2
26.12.13	Dover Athletic - Tonbridge Angels	3:1
01.01.13	Dover Athletic - Tonbridge Angels	0:1

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