Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Chatham Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.12	3.5	3
	2.66	3.76	2.34
	2.12	3.46	3.13	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.11)	3.5 ↓ (3.62)	2.69 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
39.3%

Draw
26.4%

Chatham Town
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

25.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

23.8%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tonbridge Angels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-4%)

Tonbridge Angels - Chatham Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tonbridge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Sablier M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 1, Fadahunsi T. ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, Oldfield S. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Tonbridge is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chatham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tonbridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chatham has had a series of home games.

Tonbridge could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tonbridge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Including home match between the teams, Tonbridge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Tonbridge Angels - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 42.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
04.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Tonbridge Angels - Cray Valley Paper Mills	5:0 ✺
27.09.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Tonbridge Angels	0:0 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Salisbury - Tonbridge Angels	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 WWTWW
- Chatham Town
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Chatham Town - Needham Market	1:0 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.09.25	Chatham Town - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Chatham Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Wingate & Finchley - Chatham Town	0:3 ✺
25.08.25	Chatham Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.07.24	Tonbridge Angels - Chatham Town	1:3

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