The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mainz 61.6%
Draw 22.2%
Greuther Fürth 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.1%
24.1%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67%
20.2%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mainz's performance.
Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mainz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.5%
12.3%
11.1%
Mainz - Greuther Fürth Predictions
Users Predictions:
81 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 62 - 76.5%). Fürth will win (votes: 9 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 67.3% – 85.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Mainz has the most likely position - 11 (8%), has project points - 43, has currently - 3, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fürth has the most likely position - 18 (22.48%), has project points - 31, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mainz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Fürth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recently Fürth have a series of guest games.
In this match Mainz is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Mainz to win the game is with odds 1.71.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Mainz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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