Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Mainz II		Sonnenhof Großaspach

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.9
	3.53	3.76	1.89
	3.41	3.71	1.91
	3.4	3.5	1.85
	3.51	3.55	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.94)	3.64 ↑ (3.29)	1.88 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mainz II
26.5%

Draw
25.1%

Sonnenhof Großaspach
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.9%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

27.3%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sonnenhof Großaspach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sonnenhof Großaspach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonnenhof Großaspach than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sonnenhof Großaspach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mainz II - Sonnenhof Großaspach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 2.

Mainz II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Großaspach is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mainz II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Mainz II	10	3	0	7	10:21	-11	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
25.04.26	Freiberg - Mainz II	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Mainz II - Sandhausen	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Balingen - Mainz II	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Mainz II - Bahlinger	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Eintracht Trier - Mainz II	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTTW
- Sonnenhof Großaspach
German Regionalliga Sudwest
25.04.26	Bahlinger - Sonnenhof Großaspach	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Freiberg	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Bayern Alzenau - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:4 ✺
10.04.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Schott Mainz	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sandhausen - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
01.11.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mainz II	2:2
18.12.21	Mainz II - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:0
29.08.21	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mainz II	1:3
19.12.20	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mainz II	0:0
German 3 Bundesliga
15.04.17	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mainz II	2:1
05.11.16	Mainz II - Sonnenhof Großaspach	0:2
13.02.16	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mainz II	0:3

Upcoming Matches