Match Info

GUATEMALA: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday


	Malacateco		Deportivo Zacapa

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	6.25
	1.42	4.2	6.5
	1.52	4.27	6.1
	1.52	4.28	5.52
	1.4	4	7
	1.55	4.34	5.16	Watch
	1.41	4.3	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.43)	4.21 ↑ (4.06)	6.16 ↓ (7.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malacateco
63.1%

Draw
21.9%

Deportivo Zacapa
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

22.8%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

21%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Deportivo Zacapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Zacapa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Malacateco - Deportivo Zacapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pelaez A. (G) 11. Andrade N. 13. Estrada C. 12. Godoy W. 27. Jerry 14. Laparra J. 21. Lopez A. 8. Moran Y. 10. Ochoa J. 6. Ramirez K. 26. Riojas H.	1. Garcia A. (G) 6. Carabali Y. 8. Chajon B. 26. Escobar J. 19. Espinoza J. 3. Garcia J. 15. Madrid C. 36. Moscoso K. 29. Murillo A. 23. Paz W. 4. Ramirez W.
Substitutes
30. Almaraz L. (G) 97. Alvarado M. 80. Amaya W. 9. Baez P. 33. Dardon R. 25. Giron Escobar M. R. 31. Perez S. 7. Quinteros F. 90. Stewart A.	17. Barragan J. 7. Cabrera B. . Garcia E. 12. Klug E. . Lopez E. 5. Menendez B. 27. Najarro J. (G) 20. Ruiz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Murillo A. ⚽,
29', 🟨,
38', Laparra J. ↓, Baez P. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Lopez A. ⚽,
58', Murillo A. ↓, Barragan J. ↑,
58', Chajon B. ↓, Klug E. ↑,
58', Paz D. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
61', Escobar J. 🟨,
71', Moran Y. ↓, Alvarado M. ↑,
71', Godoy W. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
82', Moscoso K. ↓, Lemus M. ↑,
86', Jerry ↓, Stewart A. ↑,
86', Garcia A. ↓, Najarro J. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Baez P. ⚽,
90+4', Stewart A. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Deportivo Zacapa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Malacateco is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Malacateco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
14.04.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Municipal - Malacateco	3:0 ✺
05.04.24	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Deportivo Mixco - Malacateco	0:0 ✺
22.03.24	Malacateco - Antigua GFC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWTT
- Deportivo Zacapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
13.04.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Deportivo Coatepeque	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Zacapa	0:0 ✺
03.04.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Comunicaciones	2:2 ✺
28.03.24	Deportivo Zacapa - Xelajú	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Zacapa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.11.23	Deportivo Zacapa - Malacateco	4:0

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