Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, Supersport Action
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	23:00	Ictimai TV
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
China	03:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 4
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1, Silk Sport 2
Germany	21:00	RTL, RTL+
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport 2
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Kazakhstan	01:00	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:00	FOX Sports Premium
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 1
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport Action
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sports 2
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Action
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	22:00	Tabii Spor 2, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter
International	19:00	VIX App


	Stuttgart		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.25
	2.2	3.6	3.25
	2.19	3.65	3.35
	1.78	4.08	3.95	Watch
	2.1	3.63	3.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.78)	3.69 ↓ (4.08)	3.48 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
46.3%

Draw
26%

Celta de Vigo
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53%

23.1%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

22.9%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stuttgart's form might have worsened.

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stuttgart, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	8.8%	12.3%

Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Stuttgart (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5, 2nd Half - Stuttgart (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Stuttgart (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Stuttgart (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.68) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (45 of 57 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.37% – 89.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 28 - 87.5%). Celta (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 22. Assignon L. 29. Jeltsch F. 3. Hendriks R. 7. Mittelstadt M. 30. Andres C. 6. Stiller A. 27. Bouanani B. 11. El Khannouss B. 18. Leweling J. 9. Demirovic E. (C)	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 6. Moriba I. 8. Beltran F. 3. Mingueza O. 10. Aspas I. (C) 18. Duran P. 9. Jutgla F.
Substitutes
1. Bredlow F. (G) 35. Catovic M. 24. Chabot J. 10. Fuhrich C. 14. Jaquez L. 45. Jovanovic L. 16. Karazor A. 8. Tomas T. 4. Vagnoman J. 23. Zagadou D.	23. Alvarez H. 24. Dominguez C. 12. Fernandez M. 7. Iglesias B. 29. Lago Y. 14. Rodriguez D. 16. Roman M. 17. Rueda J. 22. Sotelo H. 19. Swedberg W. 1. Villar I. (G) 15. Zaragoza B.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Jeltsch F. ↓, Jaquez L. ↑,
35', Demirovic E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Bouanani B. ⚽, Nubel A. (A),
52', Jutgla F. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
61', Aspas I. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
61', Duran P. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
61', El Abdellaoui J. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
63', Swedberg W. 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, El Khannouss B. ⚽, Stiller A. (A),
70', Andres C. ↓, Karazor A. ↑,
70', El Khannouss B. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
80', Leweling J. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
80', Bouanani B. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
83', Beltran F. ↓, Sotelo H. ↑,
85', Assignon L. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽, Moriba I. (A),
90+5', Moriba I. 🟨,

Preview

Stuttgart is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Celta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Stuttgart is the team to beat.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Inactive) Darvich N. (Inactive) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Keitel Y. (Inactive) Nartey N. (Inactive) Silas (Ankle Injury) Stenzel P. (Inactive) Stergiou L. (Ankle Injury) Undav D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Coach's decision) Carreira S. (Ankle Injury) Ristic M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Jaquez L. (Broken nose)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stuttgart won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Stuttgart won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
19.09.25	Stuttgart - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Freiburg - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Stuttgart	2:6 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Stuttgart - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
26.08.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Stuttgart	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
21.09.25	Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Celta de Vigo - Girona	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Celta de Vigo - Betis	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Mallorca - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.25	Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo	2:1

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