Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stuttgart		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.25
	2.2	3.6	3.25
	2.19	3.65	3.35
	1.78	4.08	3.95	Watch
	2.1	3.63	3.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.78)	3.69 ↓ (4.08)	3.48 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
46.3%

Draw
26%

Celta de Vigo
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

23.1%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

22.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stuttgart's form might have worsened.

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stuttgart, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	8.8%	12.3%

Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Stuttgart (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5, 2nd Half - Stuttgart (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Stuttgart (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Stuttgart (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.68) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (45 of 57 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.37% – 89.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 28 - 87.5%). Celta (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 22. Assignon L. 29. Jeltsch F. 3. Hendriks R. 7. Mittelstadt M. 30. Andres C. 6. Stiller A. 27. Bouanani B. 11. El Khannouss B. 18. Leweling J. 9. Demirovic E. (C)	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 6. Moriba I. 8. Beltran F. 3. Mingueza O. 10. Aspas I. (C) 18. Duran P. 9. Jutgla F.
Substitutes
1. Bredlow F. (G) 35. Catovic M. 24. Chabot J. 10. Fuhrich C. 14. Jaquez L. 45. Jovanovic L. 16. Karazor A. 8. Tomas T. 4. Vagnoman J. 23. Zagadou D.	23. Alvarez H. 24. Dominguez C. 12. Fernandez M. 7. Iglesias B. 29. Lago Y. 14. Rodriguez D. 16. Roman M. 17. Rueda J. 22. Sotelo H. 19. Swedberg W. 1. Villar I. (G) 15. Zaragoza B.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Jeltsch F. ↓, Jaquez L. ↑,
35', Demirovic E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Bouanani B. ⚽, Nubel A. (A),
52', Jutgla F. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
61', Aspas I. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
61', Duran P. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
61', El Abdellaoui J. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
63', Swedberg W. 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, El Khannouss B. ⚽, Stiller A. (A),
70', Andres C. ↓, Karazor A. ↑,
70', El Khannouss B. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
80', Leweling J. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
80', Bouanani B. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
83', Beltran F. ↓, Sotelo H. ↑,
85', Assignon L. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽, Moriba I. (A),
90+5', Moriba I. 🟨,

Preview

Stuttgart is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Celta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Stuttgart is the team to beat.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Inactive) Darvich N. (Inactive) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Keitel Y. (Inactive) Nartey N. (Inactive) Silas (Ankle Injury) Stenzel P. (Inactive) Stergiou L. (Ankle Injury) Undav D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Coach's decision) Carreira S. (Ankle Injury) Ristic M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Jaquez L. (Broken nose)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stuttgart won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Stuttgart won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
19.09.25	Stuttgart - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Freiburg - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Stuttgart	2:6 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Stuttgart - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
26.08.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Stuttgart	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
21.09.25	Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Celta de Vigo - Girona	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Celta de Vigo - Betis	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Mallorca - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.25	Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo	2:1

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