Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Mallorca		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	4.75	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.6
	1.9	3.05	4.6	Watch
	1.85	2.95	5
	1.89	3.16	5.44
	1.91	3	4.6	Watch
	1.9	3	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2)	3.04 ↑ (3.03)	4.89 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
49.8%

Draw
31%

Málaga
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

31%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

20.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mallorca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Málaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	12.5%	17.5%

Mallorca - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 28 - 70%). Málaga will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 55.8% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 5 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs)).

Mallorca has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Málaga has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Mallorca is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Málaga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Málaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mallorca is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mallorca won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Mallorca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.20	Alcorcón - Mallorca	0:2 ✺
22.10.20	Mallorca - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Mirandés - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Lugo - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Mallorca - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.20	Málaga - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
22.10.20	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Zaragoza - Málaga	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Málaga - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
03.10.20	Rayo Vallecano - Málaga	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.19	Málaga - Mallorca	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
27.04.19	Málaga - Mallorca	0:1
08.12.18	Mallorca - Málaga	1:2
Club Friendly
08.08.18	Málaga - Mallorca	0:0
Spanish LaLiga
27.01.13	Mallorca - Málaga	2:3
25.08.12	Málaga - Mallorca	1:1
12.02.12	Málaga - Mallorca	3:1

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