Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Ibercaja Estadio (Zaragoza)

Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Zaragoza		Málaga

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.62	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.65	Watch
	5.46	3.88	1.68
	5.1	3.75	1.69	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.67
	5.14	3.86	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (2.51)	3.77 ↑ (3.28)	1.67 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
18.7%

Draw
24.9%

Málaga
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.8%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

31%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zaragoza's form might have worsened.

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+21.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zaragoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-25.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3%	9.1%	87.9%

Zaragoza - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 1 - 3%). Málaga will win (votes: 29 - 87.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 76.8% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Málaga (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 33. Saidu Y. 16. Radovanovic A. 27. Larios J. 23. Cuenca M. A. 8. Moya T. 6. Bare K. (C) 25. Cumic N. 19. Kodro K. 9. Gomez D.	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 31. Rafita 10. Larrubia D. 23. Merino I. 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Munoz J. 9. Chupe 12. Dotor C.
Substitutes
22. Agada W. 20. Aguirregabiria M. 24. Akouokou P. 36. Gomes A. 26. Mensah M. 17. Moyano F. 35. Obon (G) 31. Pinilla H. 15. Pomares C. 3. Tasende D. 34. Terrer L. 29. Tobajas J.	7. Abaida H. 5. Brasanac D. 6. Enriquez R. 14. Garcia V. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 20. Montero J. 21. Nino A. 35. Ochoa A. 36. Recio A. 37. Rodriguez R.
Coaches
Navarro D.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Chupe ⚽,
38', Radovanovic A. ↓, Pomares C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Obon ↑,
54', Cuenca M. A. 🟨,
56', Larios J. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
56', Cumic N. ↓, Pinilla H. ↑,
61', Munoz J. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
66', Rafita 🟨,
67', Gomez D. ↓, Terrer L. ↑,
70', Lorenzo D. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
70', Merino I. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Chupe (Penalty Awarded),
83', Larrubia D. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
83', Puga C. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Zaragoza is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 1.

Zaragoza has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Málaga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zaragoza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Málaga is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Valladolid - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Zaragoza - Granada	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Huesca - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLL
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	Málaga - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ceuta - Málaga	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Eibar - Málaga	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Málaga - Castellón	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.25	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:1
26.01.25	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:2
17.11.24	Zaragoza - Málaga	0:0
20.02.23	Málaga - Zaragoza	3:0
19.11.22	Zaragoza - Málaga	1:1
05.02.22	Zaragoza - Málaga	1:1
16.10.21	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:1

Upcoming Matches